Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Special Elections

In the special election to fill the Ohio 5 House seat, the Republican candidate won with 57 percent of the vote. That's in a district where President Bush got 61 percent of the vote in 2004. This suggests that the anti-Republican tide that swept Ohio in 2006 isn't abating. On the other hand, in the Virginia 1 seat, the Republican candidate won with 59 percent of the vote in a district President Bush won with 60 percent of the vote.


Anonymous said...

I wouldn't consider this the end of the anti-Republican tide in Ohio. NW Ohio, especially around the Toledo/ Sandusky area where the 5th district is located has always been a traditional GOP stronghold and I doubt that will ever change, no matter the year. If one wants to see if the anti-GOP tide has ended in Ohio, look at the Marietta area and SE Ohio. Ted Strickland was Congressman there before he was elected governor and I think represents an area in Ohio which doesn't swing one way or another which most of Ohio does. Outside of Cleveland, Columbus, and Youngstown, most of the state swings GOP regardless of the year.

Anonymous said...

We should also look at how much the NRCC leveraged in ie money here in this race. Things are awfully tight in cash on hand for them to be putting a quarter million into a race that should be won. Just goes to show you how vulnerable Republicans feel.

Meanwhile, the DCCC has 30m cash on hand more than 75 races targetted by their frontline or red-to-blue programs.