State Poll Numbers Again

A commentor raises an interesting point about the previous post that Bush's declines were bound to be largest in red states since they had the farthest to fall. Point taken. To control for that the following table includes percentage decline from 2004. As you can see, many of Bush's biggest declines were still in the red states. Nonetheless, Bush's average decline was 24 percent in both red and blue states.

State	2005 Approval	2005 Disapproval	_2004	Change	2004 Winner	% Change
South Dakota	41%	56%	60%	-19%	Bush	-32%
Texas	42%	54%	61%	-19%	Bush	-31%
South Carolina	40%	58%	58%	-18%	Bush	-31%
Michigan	33%	65%	48%	-15%	Kerry	-31%
Kansas	43%	54%	62%	-19%	Bush	-31%
Arkansas	38%	58%	54%	-16%	Bush	-30%
Tennessee	40%	57%	57%	-17%	Bush	-30%
Illinois	32%	66%	44%	-12%	Kerry	-28%
Delaware	33%	65%	46%	-13%	Kerry	-28%
California	32%	65%	44%	-12%	Kerry	-28%
Connecticut	32%	66%	44%	-12%	Kerry	-27%
Ohio	37%	61%	51%	-14%	Bush	-27%
Arizona	40%	55%	55%	-15%	Bush	-27%
Wisconsin	36%	61%	49%	-13%	Kerry	-27%
Missouri	39%	59%	53%	-14%	Bush	-27%
North Carolina	41%	56%	56%	-15%	Bush	-27%
Nevada	37%	60%	50%	-13%	Bush	-27%
Indiana	44%	53%	60%	-16%	Bush	-27%
New Jersey	34%	64%	46%	-12%	Kerry	-26%
Maine	33%	66%	45%	-12%	Kerry	-26%
Pennsylvania	36%	62%	48%	-12%	Kerry	-26%
Vermont	29%	69%	39%	-10%	Kerry	-25%
New York	30%	66%	40%	-10%	Kerry	-25%
Rhode Island	29%	70%	39%	-10%	Kerry	-25%
New Hampshire	37%	61%	49%	-12%	Kerry	-24%
Massachusetts	28%	68%	37%	-9%	Kerry	-24%
Iowa	38%	61%	50%	-12%	Bush	-24%
Virginia	41%	56%	54%	-13%	Bush	-24%
West Virginia	43%	55%	56%	-13%	Bush	-23%
Alabama	48%	49%	62%	-14%	Bush	-23%
Maryland	33%	64%	43%	-10%	Kerry	-23%
Kentucky	46%	50%	60%	-14%	Bush	-23%
Oklahoma	51%	46%	66%	-15%	Bush	-22%
North Dakota	49%	48%	63%	-14%	Bush	-22%
New Mexico	39%	58%	50%	-11%	Bush	-22%
Wyoming	54%	44%	69%	-15%	Bush	-22%
Florida	41%	58%	52%	-11%	Bush	-21%
Nebraska	52%	45%	66%	-14%	Bush	-21%
Georgia	46%	52%	58%	-12%	Bush	-21%
Idaho	55%	44%	68%	-13%	Bush	-20%
Oregon	38%	59%	47%	-9%	Kerry	-19%
Mississippi	48%	48%	59%	-11%	Bush	-19%
Colorado	42%	57%	52%	-10%	Bush	-19%
Minnesota	39%	58%	48%	-9%	Kerry	-18%
Montana	49%	49%	59%	-10%	Bush	-17%
Washington	38%	59%	46%	-8%	Kerry	-17%
Louisiana	48%	49%	57%	-9%	Bush	-15%
Alaska	52%	44%	61%	-9%	Bush	-15%
Utah	61%	36%	72%	-11%	Bush	-15%
Hawaii	39%	54%	45%	-6%	Kerry	-14%