The Republican advantage on this issue also cut into the Democratic party. Among Democrats, they had only a 51 point advantage among their own partisans. In contrast, the Republicans had a 61 point advantage among their own partisans on the issue of the economy.
|Party Better on Terrorism||All Voters||Republicans||Independents||Democrats|
|Party Better on Economy||All Voters||Republicans||Independents||Democrats|
The advantage that this issue gave to the Republicans becomes clearer when you run a statistical model with both of these questions, along with variables party identification, ideology, sex, race, education, income, and age. Controlling for all of these factors, the probablity of a vote for Bush was 74 percent among those who thought the Republicans better on terrorism, but only 21 percent of those who gave the advantage to the Democrats. That's a 53 point jump in the Bush vote depending up which party they thought better on terrorism. On the economy, however, there was only a 29 point jump. The table also shows that if the Democrats had managed to convince voters that there was no difference between the parties on the isse of terrorism, Kerrry would have won the election 53-47.
|% Probability of Vote For Bush||Terrorism||Economy|