The political science take on things.
Professor Ray C Fair's econometric model shows Bush with 57.5% of the popular vote (2.5% standard error)The Iowa Electronic Markets show Bush with 52%+ percent of the popular vote.Tradesports.com puts Bush's share of the vote at 53% to 55%.Tradesports.com puts Bush's electoral count at about 280.Economy.com's model shows Bush with 370(!) electoral votes.Online Betting Guide (.uk) links to British bookies giving short odds on the Republicans and long odds for the Democrats.I'll take your bet.
That's great that all of those sites and Ray Fair say otherwise. They don't have a clue of what's been happening on the ground though. Remember, it's not about the popular vote, but about 17 states. And for those interested, my count is based on a modified "Retro vs. Metro" hypothesis.
Sounds like you're game for a bet.
Sorry...meant to continue previous entry but got sidetracked.How about, "I bet you that Bush will either win 280 Electoral Votes or at least 52% of the popular vote?"
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