tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5990055.post3197147725392324438..comments2024-01-26T01:52:53.198-05:00Comments on PolySigh: Deep Breath TimePhilip Klinknerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15559722693896372701noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5990055.post-11410658779888809102008-01-25T19:10:00.000-05:002008-01-25T19:10:00.000-05:00Hi Phil,Turnout (except in Las Vegas) has been muc...Hi Phil,<BR/><BR/>Turnout (except in Las Vegas) has been much higher than expected, so everything hasn't been called perfectly. Anyway, I must admit that I am a pretty ardent Obama fan and the idea of an "Obama Ceiling" does have me worried. That said, the Clintons have played some pretty significant political cards recently, so they are worried too. <BR/><BR/>I'm not sure how negative campaigning will play out. Internet fund raising has been a big boost for Obama and the Clinton's latest tactics have a lot of Kossaks riled. I'm not sure if the Clintons, in all their wisdom, have run through the ramifications of this. Never underestimate the ability of DC insiders to underestimate technology.<BR/><BR/>ChrisChris M.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16726381483623195967noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5990055.post-41189754933045095842008-01-25T08:44:00.000-05:002008-01-25T08:44:00.000-05:00I think it was Larry Sabato who pointed it out in ...I think it was Larry Sabato who pointed it out in 2000 that any candidate with a serious shot at his or her party's nomination will have difinitively led in the national polls of likely primary voters at some point in the year prior to the Iowa caucuses. I can't say for sure, but I think Clinton lead the national polls throughout that entire period. Her biggest threat was a hypothetical run by Gore. Obama only led briefly in the week after Iowa.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com