A few quick things:
a) Even in non-competitive MA, turnout seemed heavy today. I was joined in line by a couple who insisted on driving all the way up from New York to vote, since they had forgotten to send their absentee ballot in.
b) My parents in VA said turnout was very, very thick in the DC suburbs. Zogby had VA tied, and it's been pretty close throughout the campaign season, although almost never for Kerry. A big DC turnout could make the difference, especially if Bush gets an iffy turnout further south. If there is a big surprise tonight, my guess is VA is it.
c) I heard Howard Stern this morning (not my usual fare!), blasting Bush rather than talking to pornstars. He was actually going, very systematically, through the reasons to vote Kerry rather than Bush. Stern is a complete scum, but notice that he has very large listenership in FL (Ft. Meyers, Orlando, Miami, W. Palm Beach, and Tampa); Nevada (Las Vegas and Reno); OH (Cincinnati, Cleveland and Columbus); Oregon (Portland); Pennsylvania (Phillie, Pittsburgh and York); DC (where he reaches the above-referenced N. Virginia voters); Missouri (St. Louis) and Washington (Seattle). Stern listeners tend to be younger, and they listen to him A LOT, in their car, when they have nothing else to think about. This amounts to millions and millions of free media that the Democrat did not have last time. Not only that, it's free media that is much more visceral and gut-level than anything the Democrats could put up on their own. And unlike Don Imus, who is pro-Kerry but without enthusiasm, Stern is about to bust a vein he hates Bush so deeply. If we see an increase in turnout amoung under-35s in the above media-markets, it may be that Kerry owes Stern a debt of thanks. A pact with the devil--literally!